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Notes: The 'gambler's fallacy' in lottery play
Clotfelter, Charles T, Cook, Philip J. Management Science. Linthicum: Dec 1993. Vol. 39, Iss. 12; pg. 1521, 5 pgs
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Abstract (Summary)

The gambler's fallacy is the belief that the probability of an event is lowered when that event has recently occurred, even though the probability of the event is objectively known to be independent from one trial to the next. Evidence is provided on the time pattern of lottery participation to see whether actual behavior is consistent with this fallacy. Data from the Maryland daily numbers game show a clear and consistent tendency for the amount of money bet on a particular number to fall sharply immediately after it is drawn, and then gradually to recover to its former level over the course of several months. This pattern is consistent with the hypothesis that lottery players are in fact subject to the gambler's fallacy.

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Indexing (document details)

Subjects:Uncertainty,  Studies,  Probability,  Lotteries,  Gambling,  Expected returns,  Errors
Classification Codes9190 United States,  9130 Experimental/theoretical treatment,  2600 Management science/operations research
Locations:US,  Maryland
Author(s):Clotfelter, Charles T (view profile),  Cook, Philip J (view profile)
Publication title:Management Science. Linthicum: Dec 1993. Vol. 39, Iss. 12;  pg. 1521, 5 pgs
Source type:Periodical
ISSN:00251909
ProQuest document ID:107154
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